Bail Me Out Bennie
By Peter Schiff
Now that the Fed and the Treasury Department have clumsily
come to the rescue of the financial titans of Wall Street, it is now
politically dangerous to resist similar pleas from just about everybody else. Populism is emerging as a dominant theme is
this election year, and with so much largesse showered on Bear Stearns and JP
Morgan Chase, politicians are demanding even more generous terms for consumers.
In Washington,
it seems that two wrongs apparently make a right. Another downside to corporate bailouts is that
they provide the critics of free market capitalism with plenty of excuses to
weigh down American economic vitality with even more unnecessary regulation.
In the first place, the current mess did not result from a
failure of the free market, but from too much government interference. The real estate bubble, and the shaky
securitized products it spawned, resulted from the Fed artificially setting
interest rates too low. Had interest rates been allowed to find their
market levels, rather than be set by government decree, the real estate bubble
never would have been inflated in the first place.
In a nation short on savings and heavy with debt, the free
market would naturally set interest rates quite high. With lots of demand for credit, but a limited
supply of savings, the risk of lending and therefore the price of credit
(interest rates) would be high. Although onerous to borrowers, high rates
would have both encouraged saving and discouraged borrowing. In the end,
these market forces would reduce interest rates and produce a more stable
balance between savings and consumption. However, the Fed did not want
American consumers to be subjected to free market discipline that might
otherwise reign in their non-stop spending. After all, reckless
consumption was falsely believed to be the engine of our prosperity.
So the Fed fixed the price of credit (interest rates) well
below the rate that would have been set by the free market. This sent
false economic signals to the market that more savings were available than
actually existed, leading to an over-investment in housing. Also, by
keeping the rate of interest below the rate of inflation, rampant speculation
was encouraged, and the foundation was laid for the very type of mortgage
financing that has now come back to bite us.
In the second place, no one on Wall Street should be bailed
out. The effects of the bursting of the housing bubble should be dealt
with by the market, despite the fact that the underlying bubble itself was a
byproduct of government intervention.
Apart from the problems created by interfering with the
market’s attempts to restore balance and reallocate
resources, bailouts create all sorts of moral hazards. After all, why
should bailouts be limited to investment banks or overstretched
homeowners? What about renters who also borrowed too much money?
What about those behind on their credit cards, auto or student loans? Why
shouldn’t they get bailed out? How about small entrepreneurs whose
start-up businesses failed -- should they get bailed out as well?
In market economies all sorts of people lose money,
sometimes as a result of circumstances entirely beyond their control.
While this is clearly not the case for most homeowners and mortgage lenders, some
would obviously fall within that category. However, it is not up to
government to rescue them. Even if some borrowers and lenders were lead
astray by the false economic signals sent by the Fed, they are never-the-less
responsible for any losses they might have incurred as a result of following
them. The real danger is that while
government interference is actually at fault, it’s the free-market that ends up
taking the blame.
For a more in depth analysis of our financial problems and
the inherent dangers they pose for the U.S. economy and U.S. dollar denominated
investments, read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming
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